New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Matthew Boyd

Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees (95-50, 1st in AL East) go to Comerica Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (42-100, 5th in AL Central). The Yankees open this game at -205 while the Tigers are coming in at +190. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Yankees have been an excellent choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 95-50-0 SU. The Tigers cover 29.6% of the time, going 42-100-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been a dicey Under pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 76-64-5.

The Yankees cover 58.8% of the time away from home, having gone 40-28-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit covers 26.5% of the time at Comerica Park, going 18-50-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a dicey Under pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 65-67-10.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/9/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Out for the season
9/9/2019 Stephen Tarpley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/8/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Out for the season
9/8/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Out for the season
9/8/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Out for the season
9/6/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/5/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
8/27/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/22/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/28/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 95-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 100.1 innings pitched and he's given up 104 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 518 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 629 hitters and walked 230 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 1,222 base hits and 625 earned runs. They have allowed 228 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 454 batters and struck out 1,343. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .288 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 143 hits this season in 497 at bats with 84 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .547 and an OPS+ of 134. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 331 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .511. The Yankees have 1,343 hits, including 258 doubles and 270 home runs. New York has walked 510 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,265 times as a unit. They have left 944 men on base and have a team OPS of .830. They score 5.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 837 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 42-100 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.57, Matthew Boyd has a 8-10 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 225 strikeouts over the 171.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 161 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.94 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 518 batters and walked 254 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.2. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,350 base knocks and 730 earned runs this season. They have given up 221 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 477 hitters and struck out 1,192 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 28th in the league. The Tigers hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .351. He has 130 hits this year along with 53 RBI in 450 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .400 with an OPS+ of 98. Brandon Dixon is hitting .247 this season and he has an OBP of .290. He has collected 87 hits in 352 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .446. The Tigers as a unit have 1,169 base hits, including 263 doubles and 133 homers. Detroit has walked 346 times this year and they have struck out on 1,430 occasions. They have had 940 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They have scored 3.64 runs per game and totaled 517 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+190)

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