New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Expert MLB Picks 7/4/2019
Thursday, July 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Yonny Chirinos
Tropicana Field is the site where Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays (50-36, 2nd in AL East) will play the New York Yankees (54-29, 1st in AL East) on Thursday. The Yankees open this game at -121 while the Rays are coming in at +111. The over/under is set at 9.5.
The Yankees have been great for baseball wagerers, having gone 54-29-0 SU. Tampa Bay covers 58.1% of the time, going 50-36-0 straight up. The Yankees have been great for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 47-20-0 SU. Tampa Bay has went 11-8-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 57.9% of the time.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been a rough Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 46-34-3.
The Yankees cover 58.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 21-15-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
Tampa Bay covers 55.8% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 24-19-0 SU.
The Rays have been a very good Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 35-44-7.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/2/2019 Luke Voit 1B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/30/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/30/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/30/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
6/27/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/21/2019 Domingo German SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/2/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/2/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Lower Leg Probable for Jul 3
7/1/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 54-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.28 this season. He has 66 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he's given up 89 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 362 hitters and walked 127 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 705 base hits and 347 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 253 batters and struck out 765. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.
As a team New York is hitting .266, good for 6th in the league. The Yankees hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 84 hits this season in 285 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .544 and an OPS+ of 138. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .341 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 108 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 317 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .527. The Yankees have 750 hits, including 127 doubles and 138 home runs. New York has walked 311 times so far this season and they have struck out 729 times as a unit. They have left 544 men on base and have a team OPS of .805. They score 5.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 478 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 50-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.10, Yonny Chirinos has a 7-4 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 93 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 72 hits. He's allowing 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 386 batters and walked 141 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.2. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 640 base knocks and 278 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 251 hitters and struck out 819 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 13th in the league. The Rays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Brandon Lowe comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .339. He has 77 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 279 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 126. Austin Meadows is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 75 hits in 262 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .504. The Rays as a unit have 755 base hits, including 149 doubles and 107 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out on 814 occasions. They have had 616 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.59 runs per game and totaled 395 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays +111
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