Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 6/15/2019

Saturday, June 15, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Sean Newcomb

Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies (38-30, 2nd in NL East) are headed to SunTrust Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (40-29, 1st in NL East). The Braves open this contest at -107 while the Phillies are priced at -103. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Phillies have been very good for baseball wagerers, having gone 38-30-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 58.0% of the time, going 40-29-0 straight up. The Braves have been a great pick for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 31-18-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 41.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 7-10-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a solid Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 30-36-2.

Philadelphia is covering 48.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 15-16-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves cover 57.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 20-15-0 SU.

The Braves have been a great Over play for O/U wagerers, having gone 38-28-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/8/2019 Adam Haseley CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/7/2019 Pat Neshek RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/7/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/7/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/5/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
5/29/2019 Adam Morgan RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/28/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/11/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/10/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/8/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 38-30 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.49 this season. He has 86 strikeouts over his 76.2 innings pitched and he's given up 80 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 226 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 234 hitters and walked 97 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 603 base hits and 289 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 235 batters and struck out 580. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 66 hits this season in 250 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .420 and an OPS+ of 94. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .392. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 242 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .517. The Phillies have 562 hits, including 135 doubles and 82 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 250 times so far this season and they have struck out 581 times as a unit. They have left 468 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 331 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 40-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.59, Sean Newcomb has a 1-0 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 26 strikeouts over the 31.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 32 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 270 batters and walked 123 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 589 base knocks and 296 earned runs this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 258 hitters and struck out 599 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .401. He has 83 hits this year along with 46 RBI in 267 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .592 with an OPS+ of 153. Ozzie Albies is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 75 hits in 272 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .456. The Braves as a unit have 621 base hits, including 116 doubles and 100 homers. Atlanta has walked 255 times this year and they have struck out on 587 occasions. They have had 495 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.17 runs per game and totaled 357 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -103

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