Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 9/3/2019

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Alex Wood

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (70-65, 3rd in NL East) go to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (64-73, 4th in NL Central). The Phillies open this matchup at +110 while the Reds are coming in at -120. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Phillies have been good for wagerers, having gone 70-65-0 SU. The Reds are covering 46.7% of the time, going 64-73-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a dicey Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 63-69-3.

The Phillies are covering 46.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 29-34-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are covering 54.5% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 36-30-0 SU.

The Reds have been a less than ideal Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 54-78-5.

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Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/1/2019 Jean Segura SS Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/24/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Eugenio Suarez 3B Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 70-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 103 strikeouts over his 96.1 innings pitched and he's given up 93 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 466 hitters and walked 190 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,232 base hits and 623 earned runs. They have allowed 218 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 445 batters and struck out 1,129. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.95.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Bryce Harper is hitting .257 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 125 hits this season in 487 at bats with 97 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 123. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .239 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 113 hits and he has driven in 75 men in 473 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .476. The Phillies have 1,154 hits, including 263 doubles and 170 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 491 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,192 times as a unit. They have left 964 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 657 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 64-73 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.80, Alex Wood has a 1-3 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 41 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 506 batters and walked 198 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,104 base knocks and 567 earned runs this season. They have given up 181 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 455 hitters and struck out 1,317 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .322. He has 128 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 435 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .411 with an OPS+ of 87. Joey Votto is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 118 hits in 452 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .409. The Reds as a unit have 1,142 base hits, including 200 doubles and 196 homers. Cincinnati has walked 393 times this year and they have struck out on 1,197 occasions. They have had 885 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.51 runs per game and totaled 618 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (-120)

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