Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tips 9/4/2019

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Trevor Bauer

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (64-74, 4th in NL Central) host the Philadelphia Phillies (71-65, 3rd in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, September 4, 2019. The Reds open this contest at +107 while the Phillies are coming in at -117. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Phillies have been a solid option for MLB bettors, having gone 71-65-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 46.4% of the time, going 64-74-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a good Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 63-70-3.

The Phillies cover 46.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 30-34-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds cover 53.7% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 36-31-0 SU.

The Reds have been a good Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 54-79-5.

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Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/2/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 Jean Segura SS Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/2/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/2/2019 Eugenio Suarez 3B Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 71-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 12-4 record with an earned run average of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.21 this season. He has 194 strikeouts over his 174.2 innings pitched and he's given up 147 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.65 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 467 hitters and walked 190 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,239 base hits and 624 earned runs. They have allowed 219 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,138. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.94.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 115 hits this season in 477 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .488 and an OPS+ of 123. Bryce Harper is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 126 hits and he has driven in 99 men in 491 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Phillies have 1,160 hits, including 263 doubles and 174 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 493 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,203 times as a unit. They have left 966 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 664 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 64-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.53, Trevor Bauer has a 10-12 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 222 strikeouts over the 186.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 165 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 423 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 509 batters and walked 198 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,110 base knocks and 574 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 457 hitters and struck out 1,328 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .349. He has 118 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 455 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .407 with an OPS+ of 94. Jose Iglesias is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 130 hits in 439 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Reds as a unit have 1,149 base hits, including 200 doubles and 197 homers. Cincinnati has walked 396 times this year and they have struck out on 1,206 occasions. They have had 891 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.49 runs per game and totaled 619 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (+107)

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