Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins MLB Tips 6/28/2019

Friday, June 28, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Elieser Hernandez

Marlins Park is the venue where Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (30-48, 5th in NL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (42-38, 2nd in NL East) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies priced at -142 and the Marlins are at +132. The total opens at 8.5.

The Phillies have been less than ideal for oddsmakers, having gone 42-38-0 SU. Miami is covering 38.5% of the time, going 30-48-0 straight up. The Phillies have been a great bet for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 34-23-0 SU. Miami is covering 38.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 29-47-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a solid Under option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 37-41-2.

Philadelphia is covering 43.2% of the time on the road, having gone 16-21-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are covering 32.5% of the time at Marlins Park, going 13-27-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a solid Under option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 35-39-4.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/26/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/22/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/18/2019 Adam Haseley CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/25/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/25/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/24/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/21/2019 Jorge Alfaro C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/20/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/7/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 42-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 54 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he's given up 44 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 270 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 732 base hits and 360 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 274 batters and struck out 668. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 5.09.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .396. He has 75 hits this season in 282 at bats with 52 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .528 and an OPS+ of 138. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 85 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 297 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Phillies have 660 hits, including 155 doubles and 100 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 299 times so far this season and they have struck out 686 times as a unit. They have left 556 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 385 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 30-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.34, Elieser Hernandez has a 0-2 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 18.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 245 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 270 batters and walked 130 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 635 base knocks and 332 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 286 hitters and struck out 672 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .352 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .251 with an OBP of .335. He has 73 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 291 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 103. Miguel Rojas is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 72 hits in 261 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .337. The Marlins as a unit have 625 base hits, including 118 doubles and 60 homers. Miami has walked 191 times this year and they have struck out on 696 occasions. They have had 507 men left on base and have an OPS of .647. They have scored 3.5 runs per game and totaled 273 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +132

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