Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 9/7/2019

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Marcus Stroman

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (71-68, 4th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (72-67, 3rd in NL East) at Citi Field on Saturday, September 7, 2019. The Mets open this matchup at -152 while the Phillies are coming in at +142. The over/under is set at 9.

The Phillies have been dicey for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 72-67-0 SU. New York covers 51.1% of the time, going 71-68-0 straight up.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have been a solid Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 64-72-3.

The Phillies are covering 46.3% of the time away from home, having gone 31-36-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York covers 57.8% of the time at Citi Field, going 37-27-0 SU.

The Mets have been a solid Over choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 67-58-14.

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Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/4/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/3/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/29/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 72-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.66 this season. He has 98 strikeouts over his 94.2 innings pitched and he's given up 108 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 501 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 480 hitters and walked 196 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,263 base hits and 638 earned runs. They have allowed 225 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 459 batters and struck out 1,168. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.94.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .237 with an on-base percentage of .378. He has 116 hits this season in 489 at bats with 80 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .481 and an OPS+ of 119. Bryce Harper is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 128 hits and he has driven in 100 men in 502 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .498. The Phillies have 1,184 hits, including 271 doubles and 179 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 502 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,233 times as a unit. They have left 983 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 678 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 71-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.28, Marcus Stroman has a 7-12 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 130 strikeouts over the 156.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 156 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.20 and they have given up 454 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 477 batters and walked 204 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,215 base knocks and 610 earned runs this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 443 hitters and struck out 1,289 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .367. He has 136 hits this year along with 105 RBI in 509 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .593 with an OPS+ of 151. Amed Rosario is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 152 hits in 531 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .429. The Mets as a unit have 1,253 base hits, including 242 doubles and 201 homers. New York has walked 437 times this year and they have struck out on 1,190 occasions. They have had 977 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 678 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+142)

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