Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 6/12/2019

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mitch Keller vs. Mike Soroka

Melky Cabrera and the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-35, 4th in NL Central) travel to SunTrust Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (37-29, 1st in NL East). The Braves open this contest at -150 while the Pirates are coming in at +140. The over/under has been set at 9.

The Pirates have been pretty good for Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 30-35-0 SU. The Braves are covering 56.1% of the time, going 37-29-0 straight up. The Braves have been an excellent choice for bettors as a favorite, going 28-18-0 SU. The Pirates are covering 42.2% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-26-0 straight up.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have been an awful Under play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 38-26-1.

The Pirates are covering 50.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 17-17-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta is covering 53.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 17-15-0 SU.

The Braves have been an awful Under play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 35-28-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/10/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/10/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/9/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/8/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/5/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/4/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/1/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
4/25/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/10/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/8/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 30-35 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mitch Keller has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 13.50 and a WHIP of 2.25 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 4 innings pitched and he's given up 7 hits. He's allowed 15.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.63 and they have given up 264 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 271 hitters and walked 123 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 591 base hits and 332 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 569. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Pirates hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Melky Cabrera is hitting .335 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 58 hits this season in 173 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .462 and an OPS+ of 123. Josh Bell is hitting .324 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 58 men in 247 at bats. His OPS+ is 173 while his slugging percentage is at .660. The Pirates have 583 hits, including 119 doubles and 67 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 171 times so far this season and they have struck out 548 times as a unit. They have left 460 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 279 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 37-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.38, Mike Soroka has a 7-1 record and a 0.87 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 65.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 40 hits. He's allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 118 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 558 base knocks and 281 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 245 hitters and struck out 580 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Ozzie Albies comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .336. He has 70 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 260 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .435 with an OPS+ of 99. Freddie Freeman is hitting .311 this season and he has an OBP of .401. He has collected 79 hits in 254 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 156 and a slugging percentage of .598. The Braves as a unit have 586 base hits, including 109 doubles and 94 homers. Atlanta has walked 242 times this year and they have struck out on 562 occasions. They have had 467 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They have scored 5.09 runs per game and totaled 336 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates +140

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