Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves MLB Game Picks 6/10/2019

Monday, June 10, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Joe Musgrove vs. Kevin Gausman

Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-33, 4th in NL Central) are headed to SunTrust Park on Monday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (35-29, 2nd in NL East). The Braves open this matchup at -164 while the Pirates are coming in at +154. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Pirates have been an inconsistent pick for baseball bettors, having gone 30-33-0 SU. The Braves cover 54.7% of the time, going 35-29-0 straight up. The Braves have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 26-18-0 SU. The Pirates cover 44.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 19-24-0 straight up.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have been a very good Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 37-25-1.

The Pirates cover 53.1% of the time away from home, having gone 17-15-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves cover 51.6% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 16-15-0 SU.

The Braves have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 33-28-3.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/8/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/8/2019 Rookie Davis RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/5/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/4/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/1/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
4/25/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/8/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
5/28/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 30-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joe Musgrove has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 57 strikeouts over his 73 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.32 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 262 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 569 base hits and 316 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 234 batters and struck out 554. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.52.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Pirates hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .331 with an on-base percentage of .394. He has 79 hits this season in 239 at bats with 57 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .678 and an OPS+ of 179. Melky Cabrera is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 57 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 172 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .459. The Pirates have 568 hits, including 118 doubles and 64 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 165 times so far this season and they have struck out 524 times as a unit. They have left 447 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 270 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 35-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.15, Kevin Gausman has a 2-5 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 60 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 65 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 217 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 246 batters and walked 115 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 534 base knocks and 270 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 240 hitters and struck out 554 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .402. He has 76 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 244 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .594 with an OPS+ of 156. Ozzie Albies is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 67 hits in 251 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Braves as a unit have 563 base hits, including 102 doubles and 88 homers. Atlanta has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out on 539 occasions. They have had 449 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.94 runs per game and totaled 316 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves -164

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