Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 6/30/2019
Sunday, June 30, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Steven Brault vs. Zach Davies
Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (43-39, 2nd in NL Central) play the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41, 4th in NL Central) at Miller Park on Sunday, June 30, 2019. The Brewers open this contest at -172 while the Pirates are priced at +162. The O/U has been set at 10.
The Pirates have been a less than ideal bet for MLB bettors, having gone 39-41-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 52.4% of the time, going 43-39-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a decent pick for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 26-22-0 SU. Pittsburgh has went 25-31-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 44.6% of the time.
Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have been a strong Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 47-30-3.
The Pirates cover 50.0% of the time on the road, having gone 22-22-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers cover 58.1% of the time at Miller Park, going 25-18-0 SU.
The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 36-43-3.
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
6/28/2019 Chris Archer SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/26/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/26/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
6/25/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/24/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Pirates have a 39-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Brault has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.58 this season. He has 44 strikeouts over his 52 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 333 hitters and walked 150 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 731 base hits and 393 earned runs. They have allowed 106 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 709. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Pirates hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Melky Cabrera is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 65 hits this season in 212 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .429 and an OPS+ of 103. Josh Bell is hitting .307 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 306 at bats. His OPS+ is 162 while his slugging percentage is at .637. The Pirates have 748 hits, including 161 doubles and 85 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 220 times so far this season and they have struck out 637 times as a unit. They have left 568 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 374 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 43-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.34, Zach Davies has a 7-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 86.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 93 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 375 batters and walked 142 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 721 base knocks and 383 earned runs this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 293 hitters and struck out 777 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .330 with an OBP of .422. He has 93 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 282 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .709 with an OPS+ of 186. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .251 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 77 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 74 and a slugging percentage of .355. The Brewers as a unit have 703 base hits, including 132 doubles and 139 homers. Milwaukee has walked 314 times this year and they have struck out on 783 occasions. They have had 579 men left on base and have an OPS of .776. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 401 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Pirates/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -172
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