San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks and Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Richards vs. Robbie Ray

Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks (82-77, 2nd in NL West) play the San Diego Padres (70-89, 4th in NL West) at Chase Field on Saturday, September 28, 2019. The odds on this matchup have the Padres coming in at +153 and the Diamondbacks are at -163. The over/under is set at 9.

The Padres have been a dicey bet for MLB wagerers, having gone 70-89-0 SU. Arizona is covering 51.6% of the time, going 82-77-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 72-75-12.

San Diego is covering 43.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 34-44-0 straight up.

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

Arizona is covering 52.6% of the time at Chase Field, going 41-37-0 SU.

The Diamondbacks have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 75-75-9.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/24/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Out for the season
9/24/2019 Cal Quantrill SP Rest Out for the season
9/24/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Out for the season
9/24/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Out for the season
9/21/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 Chris Paddack SP Rest Out for the season
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/25/2019 Abraham Almonte RF Hamstring Probable for Sep 27
9/23/2019 Zac Gallen SP Rest Out for the season
9/20/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back Out for the season
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 70-89 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Garrett Richards has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 11.81 and a WHIP of 2.06 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 5.1 innings pitched and he's given up 9 hits. He's allowed 15.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 591 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 666 hitters and walked 198 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,376 base hits and 720 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 450 batters and struck out 1,453. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league. The Padres hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .315. He has 163 hits this season in 608 at bats with 97 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .426 and an OPS+ of 95. Manny Machado is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 576 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .448. The Padres have 1,256 hits, including 219 doubles and 215 home runs. San Diego has walked 499 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,552 times as a unit. They have left 989 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 82-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.28, Robbie Ray has a 12-8 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 225 strikeouts over the 168.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 142 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 554 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 571 batters and walked 234 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,375 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 216 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 511 hitters and struck out 1,398 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 13th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Eduardo Escobar comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .322. He has 169 hits this year along with 118 RBI in 624 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .518 with an OPS+ of 112. Adam Jones is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 126 hits in 482 at bats while driving in 67 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .417. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,401 base hits, including 282 doubles and 217 homers. Arizona has walked 527 times this year and they have struck out on 1,338 occasions. They have had 1,099 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 5.03 runs per game and totaled 800 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (+153)

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