San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/4/2019

Sunday, August 4, 2019

Dodger Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Kenta Maeda

Max Muncy and the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-40, 1st in NL West) play the San Diego Padres (51-58, 4th in NL West) at Dodger Stadium on Sunday, August 4, 2019.

The Padres have been a less than ideal bet for wagerers, having gone 51-58-0 SU. Los Angeles covers 64.3% of the time, going 72-40-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a good Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 49-51-9.

The Padres are covering 48.1% of the time away from home, having gone 26-28-0 straight up.

Important Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers are covering 73.2% of the time at Dodger Stadium, going 41-15-0 SU.

The Dodgers have been a hot and cold Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 54-53-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

7/30/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/24/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
7/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

8/2/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/2/2019 A.J CF Groin Probable for Aug 3
8/2/2019 Hyun-Jin Ryu SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/31/2019 Jedd Gyorko 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/31/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/30/2019 Ross Stripling RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/30/2019 Enrique Hernandez 2B Hand Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/26/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/15/2019 Chris Taylor LF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/14/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 2

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 51-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 2.78 and a WHIP of 0.90 this season. He has 104 strikeouts over his 100.1 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 409 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 457 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 947 base hits and 487 earned runs. They have allowed 146 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 295 batters and struck out 964. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 113 hits this season in 410 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .507 and an OPS+ of 125. Eric Hosmer is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 423 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Padres have 896 hits, including 154 doubles and 165 home runs. San Diego has walked 328 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,051 times as a unit. They have left 675 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Los Angeles has a 72-40 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.07, Kenta Maeda has a 7-8 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 112.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 86 hits. He's allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 359 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 850 base knocks and 373 earned runs this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 1,010 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Max Muncy comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .365. He has 95 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 369 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .512 with an OPS+ of 130. Cody Bellinger is hitting .330 this season and he has an OBP of .430. He has collected 127 hits in 385 at bats while driving in 85 runs. He has an OPS+ of 189 and a slugging percentage of .681. The Dodgers as a unit have 985 base hits, including 198 doubles and 186 homers. Los Angeles has walked 432 times this year and they have struck out on 917 occasions. They have had 810 men left on base and have an OPS of .807. They have scored 5.4 runs per game and totaled 605 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dodgers

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