San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/17/2019

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Gio Gonzalez

Miller Park is the site where Yasmani Grandal and the Milwaukee Brewers (80-69, 3rd in NL Central) will play the San Diego Padres (68-81, 4th in NL West) on Tuesday. The Padres open this game at +110 while the Brewers are priced at -120. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Padres have been hot and cold for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 68-81-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 53.7% of the time, going 80-69-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a good Over play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 69-69-11.

The Padres cover 44.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 33-41-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 58.1% of the time at Miller Park, going 43-31-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a good Over play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 65-79-5.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/16/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/14/2019 Hunter Renfroe RF Ankle Probable for Sep 16
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/13/2019 Manny Pina C Concussion Probable for Sep 16
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/11/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Probable for Sep 16
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 68-81 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 9-7 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.00 this season. He has 144 strikeouts over his 135.2 innings pitched and he's given up 106 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 559 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 622 hitters and walked 188 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,309 base hits and 677 earned runs. They have allowed 200 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 419 batters and struck out 1,337. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 159 hits this season in 573 at bats with 94 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .436 and an OPS+ of 101. Manny Machado is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 551 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .463. The Padres have 1,204 hits, including 210 doubles and 209 home runs. San Diego has walked 469 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,427 times as a unit. They have left 925 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 654 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 80-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.01, Gio Gonzalez has a 2-2 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 76.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 536 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 679 batters and walked 266 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,278 base knocks and 684 earned runs this season. They have given up 212 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 534 hitters and struck out 1,361 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.57.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Yasmani Grandal comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .385. He has 120 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 473 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .484 with an OPS+ of 123. Mike Moustakas is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 128 hits in 487 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 119 and a slugging percentage of .534. The Brewers as a unit have 1,265 base hits, including 251 doubles and 232 homers. Milwaukee has walked 575 times this year and they have struck out on 1,421 occasions. They have had 1,095 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.7 runs per game and totaled 701 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (-120)

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