San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tips 9/16/2019

Monday, September 16, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ronald Bolanos vs. Zach Davies

Miller Park is the venue where Mike Moustakas and the Milwaukee Brewers (79-69, 3rd in NL Central) will play the San Diego Padres (68-80, 4th in NL West) on Monday. The Brewers open this matchup at -180 while the Padres are priced at +170. The total opens at 9.5.

The Padres have been a decent choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 68-80-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 53.4% of the time, going 79-69-0 straight up.

Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 68-69-11.

The Padres cover 45.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 33-40-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee covers 58.1% of the time at Miller Park, going 43-31-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 64-79-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/14/2019 Hunter Renfroe RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/13/2019 Manny Pina C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/11/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 68-80 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ronald Bolanos has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.46 this season. He has 9 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he's given up 10 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 553 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 616 hitters and walked 183 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 1,297 base hits and 667 earned runs. They have allowed 197 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 411 batters and struck out 1,328. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .335. He has 141 hits this season in 547 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .466 and an OPS+ of 111. Eric Hosmer is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 158 hits and he has driven in 94 men in 568 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Padres have 1,196 hits, including 208 doubles and 206 home runs. San Diego has walked 462 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,419 times as a unit. They have left 916 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 649 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 79-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.77, Zach Davies has a 9-7 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 145.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 148 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 675 batters and walked 264 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,273 base knocks and 678 earned runs this season. They have given up 208 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 530 hitters and struck out 1,351 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Mike Moustakas comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .337. He has 128 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 482 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 121. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .385. He has collected 119 hits in 469 at bats while driving in 73 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .486. The Brewers as a unit have 1,253 base hits, including 249 doubles and 230 homers. Milwaukee has walked 572 times this year and they have struck out on 1,415 occasions. They have had 1,086 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 694 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (-180)

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