San Diego Padres at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 7/25/2019
Thursday, July 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Eric Lauer vs. Jacob deGrom
Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (47-53, 5th in NL West) head to Citi Field on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Mets (46-54, 4th in NL East). The moneyline on this matchup has the Padres priced at +190 and the Mets are at -205. The total opens at 7.5.
The Padres have been a less than ideal bet for baseball bettors, having gone 47-53-0 SU. New York is covering 46.0% of the time, going 46-54-0 straight up. The Mets have been pretty good for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 26-24-0 SU. San Diego has gone 23-26-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 46.9% of the time.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a less than ideal Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 45-47-8.
San Diego is covering 48.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 24-26-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets are covering 55.8% of the time at Citi Field, going 24-19-0 SU.
The Mets have been a rough Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 51-39-10.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
7/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/21/2019 Zack Wheeler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/12/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 47-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eric Lauer has a 5-7 record with an earned run average of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 96 innings pitched and he's given up 100 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 364 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 410 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 869 base hits and 452 earned runs. They have allowed 141 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 259 batters and struck out 876. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team San Diego is hitting .242, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 99 hits this season in 372 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .508 and an OPS+ of 122. Eric Hosmer is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 393 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .435. The Padres have 813 hits, including 141 doubles and 153 home runs. San Diego has walked 299 times so far this season and they have struck out 967 times as a unit. They have left 614 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 441 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 46-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.02, Jacob deGrom has a 5-7 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 154 strikeouts over the 122 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 104 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.28 and they have given up 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 343 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 890 base knocks and 463 earned runs this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 334 hitters and struck out 921 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .363. He has 95 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 360 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .608 with an OPS+ of 155. Jeff McNeil is hitting .342 this season and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 114 hits in 333 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .508. The Mets as a unit have 884 base hits, including 168 doubles and 144 homers. New York has walked 317 times this year and they have struck out on 889 occasions. They have had 698 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 471 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres +190
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