San Diego Padres at New York Mets MLB Picks and Tips 7/23/2019
Tuesday, July 23, 2019
Citi Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack vs. Jason Vargas
Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (47-52, 5th in NL West) are headed to Citi Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the New York Mets (45-54, 4th in NL East). The odds on this game have the Padres priced at -122 and the Mets are at +112. The over/under is set at 8.
The Padres have been dicey for MLB wagerers, having gone 47-52-0 SU. The Mets are covering 45.5% of the time, going 45-54-0 straight up. The Padres have been a less than ideal bet for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 24-26-0 SU. New York has went 19-30-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 38.8% of the time.
Valuable San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres have been a less than ideal Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 45-46-8.
The Padres are covering 49.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 24-25-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets are covering 54.8% of the time at Citi Field, going 23-19-0 SU.
The Mets have been a bad Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 51-38-10.
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
7/21/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/20/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/12/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/12/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Key New York Mets Injuries
7/21/2019 Zack Wheeler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/12/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Padres have a 47-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has a 6-4 record with an earned run average of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.87 this season. He has 95 strikeouts over his 90 innings pitched and he's given up 59 hits. He's allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 361 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 410 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 861 base hits and 447 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 256 batters and struck out 872. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team San Diego is hitting .243, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 99 hits this season in 370 at bats with 66 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .511 and an OPS+ of 122. Eric Hosmer is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 111 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 390 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .436. The Padres have 808 hits, including 140 doubles and 153 home runs. San Diego has walked 292 times so far this season and they have struck out 958 times as a unit. They have left 605 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 439 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 45-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Jason Vargas has a 4-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 68 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 74 hits. He's allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 342 batters and walked 155 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 885 base knocks and 461 earned runs this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 327 hitters and struck out 912 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Mets hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .360. He has 95 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 359 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .610 with an OPS+ of 154. Jeff McNeil is hitting .339 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 112 hits in 330 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .506. The Mets as a unit have 876 base hits, including 168 doubles and 141 homers. New York has walked 314 times this year and they have struck out on 885 occasions. They have had 692 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 466 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Padres/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres -122
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