Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Point Spread Picks 9/6/2019

Friday, September 6, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tommy Milone vs. Framber Valdez

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (90-50, 1st in AL West) play the Seattle Mariners (58-82, 5th in AL West) at Minute Maid Park on Friday, September 6, 2019. The line on this game has the Mariners priced at +192 and the Astros are at -230. The over/under is set at 10.5.

The Mariners have been hot and cold for MLB bettors, having gone 58-82-0 SU. The Astros cover 64.3% of the time, going 90-50-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been an awful Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 79-56-5.

The Mariners cover 39.1% of the time as a visitor, having gone 27-42-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston is covering 75.0% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 51-17-0 SU.

The Astros have been a good Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 61-73-6.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/4/2019 J.P SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/4/2019 Omar Narvaez C Back Probable for Sep 5
8/26/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/25/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/3/2019 George Springer CF Head Probable for Sep 5
8/31/2019 Collin McHugh RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/22/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/21/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 58-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tommy Milone has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 93.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 558 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 560 hitters and walked 252 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,300 base hits and 693 earned runs. They have allowed 233 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 423 batters and struck out 1,068. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.06.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .241, good for 27th in the league. The Mariners hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Dee Gordon is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .305. He has 96 hits this season in 344 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .366 and an OPS+ of 82. Mallex Smith is hitting .239 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 461 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .358. The Mariners have 1,147 hits, including 227 doubles and 214 home runs. Seattle has walked 510 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,357 times as a unit. They have left 942 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 90-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.55, Framber Valdez has a 4-7 record and a 1.59 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 61.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 64 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 402 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 504 batters and walked 172 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.7. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,046 base knocks and 517 earned runs this season. They have given up 206 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 395 hitters and struck out 1,415 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Alex Bregman comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .416. He has 144 hits this year along with 96 RBI in 485 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .575 with an OPS+ of 159. Yuli Gurriel is hitting .305 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 155 hits in 509 at bats while driving in 97 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .546. The Astros as a unit have 1,323 base hits, including 279 doubles and 234 homers. Houston has walked 542 times this year and they have struck out on 1,007 occasions. They have had 1,002 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.52 runs per game and totaled 773 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners (+192)

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