Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros MLB Point Spread Picks 9/8/2019

Sunday, September 8, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. Gerrit Cole

Mallex Smith and the Seattle Mariners (58-84, 5th in AL West) travel to Minute Maid Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Houston Astros (92-50, 1st in AL West). The Astros open this matchup at -435 while the Mariners are priced at +385. The O/U opens at 9.

The Mariners have been inconsistent for bettors, having gone 58-84-0 SU. Houston covers 64.8% of the time, going 92-50-0 straight up.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have been a terrible Under bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 81-56-5.

Seattle covers 38.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 27-44-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston covers 75.7% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 53-17-0 SU.

The Astros have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 63-73-6.

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/6/2019 Omar Narvaez C Back Probable for Sep 7
9/4/2019 J.P SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
8/26/2019 Domingo Santana LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/25/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/23/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Hip Out for the season
8/7/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/7/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2019 Yuli Gurriel 1B Hamstring Probable for Sep 7
9/5/2019 George Springer CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/5/2019 Carlos Correa SS Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/5/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Out for the season
8/31/2019 Collin McHugh RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 58-84 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 6.02 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 46 strikeouts over his 52.1 innings pitched and he's given up 60 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 568 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 578 hitters and walked 257 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,320 base hits and 709 earned runs. They have allowed 237 home runs this season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 435 batters and struck out 1,086. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 5.08.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Mallex Smith is hitting .236 with an on-base percentage of .308. He has 110 hits this season in 467 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .353 and an OPS+ of 80. Dee Gordon is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .305. He has totaled 98 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 350 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .366. The Mariners have 1,163 hits, including 229 doubles and 219 home runs. Seattle has walked 520 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,383 times as a unit. They have left 956 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 687 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 92-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.81, Gerrit Cole has a 15-5 record and a 0.95 WHIP. He has 266 strikeouts over the 176.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 125 hits. He's allowing 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 411 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 524 batters and walked 175 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,062 base knocks and 530 earned runs this season. They have given up 211 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 405 hitters and struck out 1,441 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .487 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Yuli Gurriel comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .349. He has 157 hits this year along with 98 RBI in 516 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .547 with an OPS+ of 131. Alex Bregman is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .415. He has collected 147 hits in 495 at bats while driving in 99 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .574. The Astros as a unit have 1,343 base hits, including 284 doubles and 238 homers. Houston has walked 554 times this year and they have struck out on 1,025 occasions. They have had 1,018 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.57 runs per game and totaled 791 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners (+385)

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