St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/23/2019

Monday, September 23, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Alex Young

Chase Field is the venue where Adam Jones and the Arizona Diamondbacks (80-75, 2nd in NL West) will play the St. Louis Cardinals (88-67, 1st in NL Central) on Monday. The Diamondbacks open this game at +110 while the Cardinals are coming in at -120. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Cardinals have been terrible for oddsmakers, having gone 88-67-0 SU. The Diamondbacks cover 51.6% of the time, going 80-75-0 straight up.

Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have been a decent Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 64-82-9.

St. Louis covers 50.7% of the time on the road, having gone 38-37-0 straight up.

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks cover 52.0% of the time at Chase Field, going 39-36-0 SU.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 72-74-9.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

9/19/2019 Kolten Wong 2B Hamstring Probable for Sep 22
9/18/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Out for the season
9/1/2019 Lane Thomas CF Wrist Out for the season
7/11/2019 Jordan Hicks RP Elbow Out for the season
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/21/2019 Zac Gallen SP Rest Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/20/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back Out for the season
9/11/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 88-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 13-9 record with an earned run average of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 144 strikeouts over his 162.1 innings pitched and he's given up 161 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 575 hitters and walked 219 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.8. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 1,214 base hits and 579 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 516 batters and struck out 1,324. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .246, good for 23rd in the league. The Cardinals hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .345. He has 145 hits this season in 566 at bats with 91 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .466 and an OPS+ of 111. Paul DeJong is hitting .238 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .319. He has totaled 133 hits and he has driven in 76 men in 560 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .446. The Cardinals have 1,274 hits, including 240 doubles and 196 home runs. St. Louis has walked 527 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,327 times as a unit. They have left 1,046 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 726 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 80-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.27, Alex Young has a 7-4 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 74.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 535 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 536 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,333 base knocks and 659 earned runs this season. They have given up 207 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 492 hitters and struck out 1,338 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .311. He has 122 hits this year along with 63 RBI in 467 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .415 with an OPS+ of 85. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 165 hits in 608 at bats while driving in 117 runs. He has an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,361 base hits, including 274 doubles and 212 homers. Arizona has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out on 1,285 occasions. They have had 1,064 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 5.01 runs per game and totaled 777 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals (-120)

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