St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/26/2019
Monday, August 26, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Adam Wainwright vs. Gio Gonzalez
Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals (70-58, 1st in NL Central) go to Miller Park on Monday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (67-62, 3rd in NL Central). The Cardinals open this matchup at +110 while the Brewers are priced at -120. The O/U opens at 10.
The Cardinals have been solid for baseball wagerers, having gone 70-58-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 51.9% of the time, going 67-62-0 straight up.
Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The Cardinals have been a terrible Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 51-69-8.
St. Louis covers 47.6% of the time away from home, having gone 30-33-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
Milwaukee covers 59.4% of the time at Miller Park, going 38-26-0 SU.
The Brewers have been a solid Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 58-67-4.
Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries
8/24/2019 Kolten Wong 2B Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/23/2019 Jose Martinez RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/21/2019 Tyler O'Neill LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
7/11/2019 Jordan Hicks RP Elbow Out for the season
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
8/23/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/23/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Cardinals have a 70-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adam Wainwright has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.44 this season. He has 126 strikeouts over his 131.2 innings pitched and he's given up 135 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 481 hitters and walked 176 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 1,022 base hits and 497 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 429 batters and struck out 1,095. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.
As a team St. Louis is hitting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Cardinals hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Paul DeJong is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 115 hits this season in 467 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .456 and an OPS+ of 103. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 125 hits and he has driven in 69 men in 481 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .472. The Cardinals have 1,046 hits, including 188 doubles and 160 home runs. St. Louis has walked 421 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,092 times as a unit. They have left 858 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 581 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 67-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Gio Gonzalez has a 2-1 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 59.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 566 batters and walked 234 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,119 base knocks and 603 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 468 hitters and struck out 1,172 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.58.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .255 with an OBP of .326. He has 119 hits this year along with 40 RBI in 467 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .360 with an OPS+ of 78. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this season and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 144 hits in 439 at bats while driving in 89 runs. He has an OPS+ of 178 and a slugging percentage of .681. The Brewers as a unit have 1,113 base hits, including 221 doubles and 207 homers. Milwaukee has walked 492 times this year and they have struck out on 1,222 occasions. They have had 941 men left on base and have an OPS of .776. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 620 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals (+110)
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