St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets MLB Picks & Predictions 6/14/2019

Friday, June 14, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Daniel Ponce de Leon vs. Steven Matz

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (33-34, 3rd in NL East) play the St. Louis Cardinals (33-33, 3rd in NL Central) at Citi Field on Friday, June 14, 2019. The line on this matchup has the Cardinals coming in at +109 and the Mets are at -119. The O/U opens at 8.5.

The Cardinals have been a hot and cold choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 33-33-0 SU. New York is covering 49.2% of the time, going 33-34-0 straight up. The Mets have been a great bet for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 20-16-0 SU. The Cardinals are covering 44.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 13-16-0 straight up.

Valuable St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have been a decent Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 30-33-3.

St. Louis is covering 38.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 12-19-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 63.3% of the time at Citi Field, going 19-11-0 SU.

The Mets have been an excellent Over pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 34-26-7.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

6/13/2019 Ryan Helsley RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/13/2019 Jedd Gyorko 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/12/2019 Brett Cecil RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
6/12/2019 Mike Mayers RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Adam Wainwright SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 19

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/11/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/11/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/9/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/6/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/29/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 33-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Ponce de Leon has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.00 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he's given up 2 hits. He's allowed 3.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 259 hitters and walked 99 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 522 base hits and 277 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 560. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .245, good for 19th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 68 hits this season in 251 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 112. Paul DeJong is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 242 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Cardinals have 541 hits, including 100 doubles and 80 home runs. St. Louis has walked 234 times so far this season and they have struck out 556 times as a unit. They have left 456 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 33-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.88, Steven Matz has a 5-4 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 62.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 229 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 593 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 621 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Mets hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .337. He has 61 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 240 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .596 with an OPS+ of 149. Amed Rosario is hitting .248 this season and he has an OBP of .290. He has collected 63 hits in 254 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .417. The Mets as a unit have 578 base hits, including 111 doubles and 92 homers. New York has walked 220 times this year and they have struck out on 616 occasions. They have had 465 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 314 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals +109

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