Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks 5/4/2019

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yonny Chirinos vs. Dylan Bundy

The Tampa Bay Rays visit Oriole Park on Saturday, May 4, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Yonny Chirinos for the Rays and Dylan Bundy for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at -167 and Baltimore at +157. The Rays have a 13-17-1 over/under record and a 20-11-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 13-19-0 against the run line and have a 19-12-1 over/under record.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-17-1 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 20-11-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-12-1 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 13-19-0 against the run line

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

05/02/19 P Hunter Wood Shoulder 10-day IL (05/02)
04/26/19 2B Joey Wendle Wrist 10-day IL (04/25)
04/21/19 CF Austin Meadows Thumb 10-day IL (04/21)
03/30/19 P Anthony Banda Elbow 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 3B Matt Duffy Hamstring 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 20-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 3.48 and a WHIP of 0.84 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 31 innings pitched and he's given up 20 hits. He's allowed 5.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 149 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.07. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 219 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 303. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Rays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 31 hits this season in 102 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .588 and an OPS+ of 153. Tommy Pham is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 114 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .439. The Rays have 268 hits, including 54 doubles and 38 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 115 times so far this season and they have struck out 297 times as a unit. They have left 225 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 142 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 11-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.67, Dylan Bundy has a 0-4 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 28.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.27 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .282 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 130 batters and walked 63 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.89. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 311 base knocks and 183 earned runs this season. They have given up 74 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 112 hitters and struck out 246 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 6.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 17th in the league. The Orioles hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .333. He has 36 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 131 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .420 with an OPS+ of 105. Trey Mancini is hitting .342 this season and he has an OBP of .397. He has collected 39 hits in 114 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 167 and a slugging percentage of .596. The Orioles as a unit have 269 base hits, including 49 doubles and 35 homers. Baltimore has walked 91 times this year and they have struck out on 276 occasions. They have had 217 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.25 runs per game and totaled 136 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles +157

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