Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Expert MLB Picks 5/14/2019

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Caleb Smith

The Tampa Bay Rays visit Marlins Park on Tuesday, May 14, 2019 to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Charlie Morton for the Rays and Caleb Smith for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at -123 and Miami at +113. The Rays have a 17-20-2 over/under record and a 24-15-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 14-25-0 against the run line and have a 17-21-1 over/under record.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 17-20-2 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 24-15-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 17-21-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 14-25-0 against the run line

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

05/11/19 P Tyler Glasnow Forearm 10-day IL (05/11)
05/10/19 C Mike Zunino Quad 10-day IL (05/09)
05/08/19 C Michael Perez Oblique 10-day IL (05/08)
05/02/19 P Hunter Wood Shoulder 10-day IL (05/02)
04/26/19 2B Joey Wendle Wrist 10-day IL (04/25)
03/30/19 P Anthony Banda Elbow 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 3B Matt Duffy Hamstring 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

05/12/19 LF Peter O'Brien Ribs 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 P Drew Steckenrider Elbow 60-day IL (05/07)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 24-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Charlie Morton has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 56 strikeouts over his 44.1 innings pitched and he's given up 33 hits. He's allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen and they've struck out 184 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 6.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.96. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 270 base hits and 117 earned runs. They have allowed 35 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 111 batters and struck out 392. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .255, good for 6th in the league. The Rays hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .288 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 38 hits this season in 132 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .545 and an OPS+ of 138. Tommy Pham is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .397. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 145 at bats. His OPS+ is 129 while his slugging percentage is at .434. The Rays have 341 hits, including 71 doubles and 48 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 146 times so far this season and they have struck out 369 times as a unit. They have left 283 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 180 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 10-29 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.11, Caleb Smith has a 3-0 record and a 0.89 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 42.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 26 hits. He's allowing 5.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.47 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 144 batters and walked 70 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 329 base knocks and 187 earned runs this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 154 hitters and struck out 342 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .219, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .310 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .283, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .232 with an OBP of .282. He has 35 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 151 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .298 with an OPS+ of 64. Brian Anderson is hitting .229 this season and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 33 hits in 144 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 75 and a slugging percentage of .306. The Marlins as a unit have 283 base hits, including 45 doubles and 24 homers. Miami has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out on 357 occasions. They have had 260 men left on base and have an OPS of .592. They have scored 2.69 runs per game and totaled 105 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +113

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