Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/11/2019

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ariel Jurado vs. Darwinzon Hernandez

Nomar Mazara and the Texas Rangers (34-30, 2nd in AL West) travel to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (34-32, 3rd in AL East). The Red Sox open this game at -146 while the Rangers are coming in at +136. The over/under opens at 9.5.

The Rangers have been a good choice for wagerers, having gone 34-30-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 51.5% of the time, going 34-32-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as a favorite, going 30-25-0 SU. Texas is covering 46.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 21-24-0 straight up.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a good Over choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 32-31-1.

Texas is covering 35.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 10-18-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox are covering 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 15-15-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been an awful Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 36-28-2.

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/7/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/7/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/6/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/4/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/29/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/1/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/9/2019 J.D DH Back Probable for Jun 10
6/9/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/9/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 13
6/9/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 34-30 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ariel Jurado has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 28 strikeouts over his 35.2 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen and they've struck out 230 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 605 base hits and 310 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 236 batters and struck out 530. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .259, good for 5th in the league. The Rangers hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nomar Mazara is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .321. He has 62 hits this season in 231 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .450 and an OPS+ of 97. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 228 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Rangers have 570 hits, including 129 doubles and 92 home runs. Texas has walked 232 times so far this season and they have struck out 618 times as a unit. They have left 431 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 364 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 34-32 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 0.00, Darwinzon Hernandez has a 0-0 record and a 2.14 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 2.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 4 hits. He's allowing 15.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 215 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 286 batters and walked 101 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 545 base knocks and 289 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 649 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .371. He has 64 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 216 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .528 with an OPS+ of 134. Mookie Betts is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 67 hits in 251 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .450. The Red Sox as a unit have 588 base hits, including 124 doubles and 90 homers. Boston has walked 260 times this year and they have struck out on 546 occasions. They have had 471 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 5.26 runs per game and totaled 347 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers +136

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