Texas Rangers at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tips 6/14/2019

Friday, June 14, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Tyler Mahle

Great American Ball Park is the site where Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds (30-36, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Texas Rangers (36-31, 2nd in AL West) on Friday. The Rangers open this matchup at -112 while the Reds are coming in at +102. The total opens at 9.

The Rangers have been a decent option for bettors, having gone 36-31-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 45.5% of the time, going 30-36-0 straight up. The Rangers have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as the favorite, going 13-6-0 SU. Cincinnati has gone 14-26-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 35.0% of the time.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a dicey Over choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 33-33-1.

Texas covers 38.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 12-19-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati covers 50.0% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 14-14-0 SU.

The Reds have been an awful Over choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 23-41-2.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

6/12/2019 Joey Gallo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/11/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/11/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/7/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/6/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/29/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/1/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

6/12/2019 Joey Votto 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/10/2019 Alex Blandino SS Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/9/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/31/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
5/26/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 28

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 36-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 8.40 and a WHIP of 1.91 this season. He has 44 strikeouts over his 45 innings pitched and he's given up 55 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 242 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 633 base hits and 322 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 248 batters and struck out 562. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Rangers hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Nomar Mazara is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .320. He has 65 hits this season in 244 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS+ of 95. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 67 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 236 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .508. The Rangers have 592 hits, including 139 doubles and 93 home runs. Texas has walked 244 times so far this season and they have struck out 658 times as a unit. They have left 449 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 380 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 30-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Tyler Mahle has a 2-6 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 66.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 67 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 257 batters and walked 84 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 510 base knocks and 233 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 211 hitters and struck out 635 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 25th in the league. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .341. He has 63 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 212 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .425 with an OPS+ of 97. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .337. He has collected 63 hits in 242 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Reds as a unit have 515 base hits, including 94 doubles and 90 homers. Cincinnati has walked 204 times this year and they have struck out on 578 occasions. They have had 414 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 281 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +102

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