Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins MLB Point Spread Picks 7/5/2019

Friday, July 5, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Adrian Sampson vs. Michael Pineda

Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins (54-31, 1st in AL Central) host the Texas Rangers (46-40, 3rd in AL West) at Target Field on Friday, July 5, 2019. The odds on this game have the Rangers priced at +178 and the Twins are at -190. The O/U has been set at 10.5.

The Rangers have been a solid bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 46-40-0 SU. The Twins cover 63.5% of the time, going 54-31-0 straight up. The Twins have been excellent for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 36-20-0 SU. The Rangers cover 47.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 29-32-0 straight up.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a dicey Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 39-45-2.

The Rangers cover 43.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 18-23-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 65.0% of the time at Target Field, going 26-14-0 SU.

The Twins have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 44-36-5.

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

7/2/2019 Hunter Pence DH Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/1/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/1/2019 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/28/2019 Jeffrey Springs RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
6/20/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/20/2019 Kyle Dowdy RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/19/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/15/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

7/3/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/3/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Toe Probable for Jul 4
6/28/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 46-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adrian Sampson has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 73 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 101 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 309 hitters and walked 143 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 792 base hits and 405 earned runs. They have allowed 122 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 303 batters and struck out 729. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .252, good for 15th in the league. The Rangers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Elvis Andrus is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 95 hits this season in 310 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 103. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 303 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Rangers have 739 hits, including 176 doubles and 118 home runs. Texas has walked 303 times so far this season and they have struck out 854 times as a unit. They have left 565 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 5.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 462 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 54-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.78, Michael Pineda has a 5-4 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 86.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 88 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 286 batters and walked 113 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 718 base knocks and 335 earned runs this season. They have given up 102 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 244 hitters and struck out 740 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .342. He has 81 hits this year along with 53 RBI in 304 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 131. Jorge Polanco is hitting .318 this season and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 107 hits in 337 at bats while driving in 40 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .522. The Twins as a unit have 813 base hits, including 174 doubles and 161 homers. Minnesota has walked 259 times this year and they have struck out on 682 occasions. They have had 581 men left on base and have an OPS of .829. They have scored 5.69 runs per game and totaled 484 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rangers +178

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