Texas Rangers at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/4/2019

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Lance Lynn vs. Chad Green

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees (90-49, 1st in AL East) host the Texas Rangers (68-71, 3rd in AL West) at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, September 4, 2019. The Yankees open this matchup at -117 while the Rangers are priced at +107. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Rangers have been decent for MLB bettors, having gone 68-71-0 SU. The Yankees are covering 64.8% of the time, going 90-49-0 straight up.

Valuable Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 61-74-4.

Texas is covering 40.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 28-42-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees are covering 69.9% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 51-22-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a rough Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-60-5.

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Key Texas Rangers Injuries

9/1/2019 Hunter Pence DH Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/26/2019 Jesse Chavez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/19/2019 Joey Gallo CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/15/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
7/28/2019 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

9/2/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
9/2/2019 Edwin Encarnacion DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
9/1/2019 David Hale RP Back Out for the season
9/1/2019 Thairo Estrada 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Cameron Maybin LF Wrist Probable for Sep 3
9/1/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2019 CC Sabathia SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/30/2019 Gio Urshela 3B Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/30/2019 Stephen Tarpley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/27/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/26/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/25/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/22/2019 Aaron Hicks CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/22/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/22/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/11/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rangers have a 68-71 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Lance Lynn has a 14-9 record with an earned run average of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 202 strikeouts over his 176.2 innings pitched and he's given up 170 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 526 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 512 hitters and walked 226 batters. As a team, Texas allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Rangers pitchers collectively have given up 1,289 base hits and 667 earned runs. They have allowed 193 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 488 batters and struck out 1,181. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.68.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Texas is hitting .246, good for 23rd in the league. The Rangers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Elvis Andrus is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .316. He has 142 hits this season in 511 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .403 and an OPS+ of 81. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 128 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 484 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .461. The Rangers have 1,172 hits, including 261 doubles and 190 home runs. Texas has walked 461 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,369 times as a unit. They have left 923 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 688 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 90-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.01, Chad Green has a 2-4 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 55.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 501 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 604 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,185 base knocks and 611 earned runs this season. They have given up 222 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 439 hitters and struck out 1,281 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Aaron Judge comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .382. He has 84 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 306 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 136. Gleyber Torres is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 135 hits in 476 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .536. The Yankees as a unit have 1,289 base hits, including 244 doubles and 256 homers. New York has walked 488 times this year and they have struck out on 1,210 occasions. They have had 902 men left on base and have an OPS of .828. They have scored 5.77 runs per game and totaled 802 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rangers/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers (+107)

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