Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 9/19/2019

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Anthony Kay vs. Aaron Brooks

Oriole Park is the site where Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (49-102, 5th in AL East) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (60-91, 4th in AL East) on Thursday. The Orioles open this game at +110 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -120. The over/under is set at 10.5.

The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal pick for MLB bettors, having gone 60-91-0 SU. Baltimore covers 32.5% of the time, going 49-102-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a good Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 69-75-7.

The Blue Jays are covering 38.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 29-47-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore covers 30.3% of the time at Oriole Park, going 23-53-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a good Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 74-66-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/17/2019 Jordan Romano RP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/14/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/17/2019 Renato Nunez DH Hand
9/17/2019 Mason Williams CF Head Probable for Sep 18
9/17/2019 Mark Trumbo DH Back Probable for Sep 18
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 60-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Anthony Kay has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.50 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he's given up 11 hits. He's allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 614 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 671 hitters and walked 297 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,342 base hits and 704 earned runs. They have allowed 207 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 566 batters and struck out 1,220. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .236, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .283. He has 128 hits this season in 546 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .458 and an OPS+ of 94. Justin Smoak is hitting .208 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 395 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .403. The Blue Jays have 1,205 hits, including 249 doubles and 226 home runs. Toronto has walked 471 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,398 times as a unit. They have left 930 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 666 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 49-102 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.06, Aaron Brooks has a 5-8 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 101 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 117 hits. He's allowing 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 651 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 582 batters and walked 273 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,446 base knocks and 844 earned runs this season. They have given up 287 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 522 hitters and struck out 1,157 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .351. He has 157 hits this year along with 88 RBI in 560 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .529 with an OPS+ of 129. Jonathan Villar is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 163 hits in 588 at bats while driving in 68 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .459. The Orioles as a unit have 1,274 base hits, including 229 doubles and 193 homers. Baltimore has walked 419 times this year and they have struck out on 1,335 occasions. They have had 976 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They have scored 4.38 runs per game and totaled 662 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays (-120)

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