» MLB Picks » Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 6/25/2019

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 6/25/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 6/24/2019

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Clayton Richard vs. Chad Green

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (29-49, 4th in AL East) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Tuesday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (49-28, 1st in AL East). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays coming in at +147 and the Yankees are at -157. The total opens at 9.5.

The Blue Jays have been a terrible option for bettors, having gone 29-49-0 SU. The Yankees are covering 63.6% of the time, going 49-28-0 straight up. The Yankees have been strong for wagerers as favorites, going 42-19-0 SU. The Blue Jays are covering 34.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 20-38-0 straight up.

Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been a less than ideal Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 38-37-3.

The Blue Jays are covering 40.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 16-24-0 straight up.

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

New York covers 66.7% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 28-14-0 SU.

The Yankees have been a very good Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 42-32-3.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

6/18/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Justin Smoak 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/15/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/12/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

6/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
6/22/2019 Kendrys Morales DH Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/21/2019 Domingo German SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/11/2019 Dellin Betances RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/7/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/3/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/3/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/3/2019 Ben Heller RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
5/5/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 29-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Clayton Richard has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 7.46 and a WHIP of 1.74 this season. He has 14 strikeouts over his 25.1 innings pitched and he's given up 29 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 299 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 333 hitters and walked 136 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.8. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 698 base hits and 369 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 298 batters and struck out 642. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .225, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .221 with an on-base percentage of .279. He has 65 hits this season in 294 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .412 and an OPS+ of 85. Freddy Galvis is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .302. He has totaled 73 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 279 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .434. The Blue Jays have 589 hits, including 117 doubles and 102 home runs. Toronto has walked 240 times so far this season and they have struck out 715 times as a unit. They have left 473 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 4.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 318 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 49-28 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.93, Chad Green has a 1-2 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 24.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He's allowing 12 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 325 batters and walked 121 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 627 base knocks and 306 earned runs this season. They have given up 113 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 237 hitters and struck out 712 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 10th in the league. The Yankees hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Gleyber Torres comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .342. He has 75 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 265 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .536 with an OPS+ of 129. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .322 this season and he has an OBP of .370. He has collected 93 hits in 289 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .488. The Yankees as a unit have 673 base hits, including 112 doubles and 126 homers. New York has walked 282 times this year and they have struck out on 677 occasions. They have had 493 men left on base and have an OPS of .788. They have scored 5.52 runs per game and totaled 425 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees -157

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