Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Expert MLB Picks 9/7/2019
Saturday, September 7, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Anthony Kay vs. Charlie Morton
Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays (83-59, 2nd in AL East) host the Toronto Blue Jays (55-86, 4th in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Saturday, September 7, 2019. The line on this contest has the Blue Jays coming in at +215 and the Rays are at -260. The over/under has been set at 8.5.
The Blue Jays have been hot and cold for bettors, having gone 55-86-0 SU. The Rays are covering 58.5% of the time, going 83-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been a solid Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 64-71-6.
The Blue Jays are covering 38.9% of the time on the road, having gone 28-44-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
Tampa Bay covers 55.6% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 40-32-0 SU.
The Rays have been a solid Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 68-66-8.
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Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
9/5/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/1/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
9/5/2019 Jose Alvarado RP Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2019 Eric Sogard 2B Nose Probable for Sep 6
9/5/2019 Travis d'Arnaud C Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/5/2019 Tommy Pham LF Forearm Probable for Sep 6
8/31/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/30/2019 Yandy Diaz 3B Foot Out for the season
8/25/2019 Yonny Chirinos SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/25/2019 Blake Snell SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
8/23/2019 Brandon Lowe 2B Quadriceps Out for the season
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 55-86 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 573 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 623 hitters and walked 279 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 1,252 base hits and 655 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 535 batters and struck out 1,145. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.84.
As a team Toronto is hitting .235, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .230 with an on-base percentage of .282. He has 117 hits this season in 509 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .430 and an OPS+ of 87. Justin Smoak is hitting .211 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 375 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .405. The Blue Jays have 1,122 hits, including 231 doubles and 213 home runs. Toronto has walked 439 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,288 times as a unit. They have left 861 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 621 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 83-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.06, Charlie Morton has a 14-6 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 209 strikeouts over the 170.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 137 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 586 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 694 batters and walked 233 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,125 base knocks and 521 earned runs this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 398 hitters and struck out 1,400 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 13th in the league. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Austin Meadows comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .352. He has 130 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 457 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .551 with an OPS+ of 136. Tommy Pham is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 139 hits in 497 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .467. The Rays as a unit have 1,249 base hits, including 257 doubles and 188 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 474 times this year and they have struck out on 1,293 occasions. They have had 1,005 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.68 runs per game and totaled 665 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays (-260)
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