Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/18/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 18, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY/FSSO

Odds/Point Spread: Braves (-151) Mets (+139)

Citi Field is the site where Michael Conforto and the New York Mets (22-27, 4th in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (29-21, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Braves priced at -151 and the Mets are at +139. The O/U opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Max Fried and David Peterson.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/15/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Huascar Ynoa RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/11/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/17/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/17/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/16/2020 Jacob deGrom SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/13/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 29-21 overall record this season. Fried (25-11 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.60 and he has gone up against 1,162 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.50 (107 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.316. He has conceded 266 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 96 walks. Fried has pitched in 275 frames and has earned 286 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the bullpen and they've struck out 228 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 411 base hits and 222 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 180 batters and struck out 413. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .268, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .246 with an on-base percentage of .399. He has 31 hits this season in 126 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .563 and an OPS+ of 149. Ozzie Albies is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .288. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 76 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Braves have 462 hits, including 105 doubles and 84 home runs. Atlanta has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 466 times as a unit. They have left 351 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 286 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Peterson (4-2 career win-loss mark) has a 4.23 earned run average while giving up 7.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.37 and he has gone up against 155 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Thus far in his career, Peterson has surrendered 29 hits while totaling 26 strikeouts in 36 innings pitched. He has surrendered 17 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.326 and a FIP of 4.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 211 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 220 earned runs this season. They have given up 57 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 163 hitters and struck out 452 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .279, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .341 with an OBP of .429. He has 62 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 182 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .555 with an OPS+ of 170. Robinson Cano is hitting .318 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 42 hits in 132 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .530. The Mets as a unit have 466 base hits, including 91 doubles and 68 homers. New York has walked 160 times this year and they have struck out on 398 occasions. They have had 372 men left on base and have an OPS of .816. They have scored 4.94 runs per game and totaled 242 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+139)

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