Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+108) Red Sox (-118)

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (20-34, 5th in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (23-31, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles priced at +108 and the Red Sox are at -118. The total is set at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start are Keegan Akin and Nick Pivetta.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/20/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/16/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/20/2020 Alex Verdugo RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/20/2020 Christian Arroyo 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/15/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/15/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/10/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 23-31 overall record this season. Akin has taken the ball for 18 innings and has earned 25 punchouts. His earned run average is 3.46 (7 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.264. He has allowed 14 base knocks (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 9 walks. Akin (1-1 win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.82 while he has faced 80 opposing hitters. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen and they've struck out 223 hitters and walked 100 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 431 base hits and 227 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 437. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .252, good for 11th in the league. The Orioles hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Renato Nunez is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 46 hits this season in 184 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .478 and an OPS+ of 113. Pedro Severino is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 39 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 146 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .418. The Orioles have 456 hits, including 87 doubles and 69 home runs. Baltimore has walked 149 times so far this season and they have struck out 467 times as a unit. They have left 353 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 243 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pivetta (19-30 career record) has a 5.50 earned run average while surrendering 9.5 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.84 and he has faced 1,728 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. During his MLB career, Pivetta has allowed 420 base knocks while he has accumulated 421 strikeouts in 396 innings. He has given up a total of 242 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.434 and having a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.88 and they have given up 284 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 285 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.8. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 523 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 89 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 228 hitters and struck out 475 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.60 while their FIP as a staff is 5.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .205 with an OBP of .287. He has 38 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 185 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .373 with an OPS+ of 77. Rafael Devers is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 58 hits in 205 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .527. The Red Sox as a unit have 491 base hits, including 107 doubles and 73 homers. Boston has walked 159 times this year and they have struck out on 490 occasions. They have had 375 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.63 runs per game and totaled 250 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+108)

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