Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: MAS2/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Orioles (+157) Blue Jays (-170)

Sahlen Field is the site where Bo Bichette and the Toronto Blue Jays (29-27, 3rd in AL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (23-33, 4th in AL East) on Friday. The Orioles open this matchup at +157 while the Blue Jays are priced at -170. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jorge Lopez and Taijuan Walker.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/24/2020 Renato Nunez 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Evan Phillips RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Dillon Tate RP Finger Out for the season
9/19/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Out for the season
9/12/2020 Anthony Santander RF Oblique Out for the season
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/24/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Out for the season
9/24/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/23/2020 Ken Giles RP Elbow Out for the season
9/23/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2020 Rafael Dolis RP Knee Probable for Sep 24
9/22/2020 Julian Merryweather RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Out for the season
9/16/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Out for the season
9/15/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 23-33 overall record this season. Lopez has thrown 227 innings and has earned 184 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.83 (147 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.480. He has surrendered 255 hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 81 walks. Lopez (9-16 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.07 while going up against 1,001 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the bullpen and they've struck out 233 hitters and walked 106 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 455 base hits and 242 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 184 batters and struck out 455. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .254, good for 11th in the league. The Orioles hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Rio Ruiz is hitting .214 with an on-base percentage of .285. He has 36 hits this season in 168 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .417 and an OPS+ of 90. Hanser Alberto is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 58 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 203 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .394. The Orioles have 478 hits, including 89 doubles and 71 home runs. Baltimore has walked 156 times so far this season and they have struck out 493 times as a unit. They have left 375 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Walker (35-34 career mark) has a 3.86 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and he has gone up against 2,459 opposing batters in his career. During his MLB career, Walker has surrendered 541 base knocks while accumulating 524 strikeouts in 578 innings. He has given up 248 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 237 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 257 batters and walked 137 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 483 base knocks and 255 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 239 hitters and struck out 494 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 12th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Bo Bichette comes into this matchup batting .306 with an OBP of .336. He has 34 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 111 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .532 with an OPS+ of 134. Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 52 hits in 205 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .439. The Blue Jays as a unit have 479 base hits, including 98 doubles and 81 homers. Toronto has walked 196 times this year and they have struck out on 471 occasions. They have had 369 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 278 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+157)

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