Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: NESN/FSSO

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+161) Braves (-175)

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (34-22, 1st in NL East) host the Boston Red Sox (22-34, 5th in AL East) at Truist Park on Friday. The Braves open this game at -175 while the Red Sox are priced at +161. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chris Mazza and Kyle Wright.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/23/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Out for the season
9/23/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/22/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/24/2020 Austin Riley 3B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2020 Huascar Ynoa SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/21/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 22-34 overall record this season. Mazza has thrown 41 innings and has accumulated 34 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 5.47 (25 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.679. He has given up 51 hits (11.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 18 free passes. Mazza (2-3 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.86 and he has faced 188 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.79 and they have given up 295 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 295 hitters and walked 130 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.64. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 545 base hits and 305 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 235 batters and struck out 501. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.60 and their FIP as a unit is 5.16.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 49 hits this season in 175 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .423 and an OPS+ of 109. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 193 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .487. The Red Sox have 515 hits, including 115 doubles and 74 home runs. Boston has walked 168 times so far this season and they have struck out 508 times as a unit. They have left 392 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 267 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 34-22 overall mark this year. In his career, Wright has surrendered 61 base knocks and he has 49 strikeouts in 56 frames. He has given up a total of 42 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.794 and a FIP of 6.4. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.23 and he has faced 264 batters thus far in his career. Wright (2-7 career mark) holds a 6.71 ERA while allowing 9.8 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 256 batters and walked 97 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 455 base knocks and 240 earned runs this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 201 hitters and struck out 466 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .343 with an OBP of .457. He has 70 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 204 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .637 with an OPS+ of 184. Dansby Swanson is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 61 hits in 221 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Braves as a unit have 526 base hits, including 124 doubles and 99 homers. Atlanta has walked 218 times this year and they have struck out on 527 occasions. They have had 394 men left on base and have an OPS of .843. They have scored 5.98 runs per game and totaled 335 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (-175)

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