Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: NESN/FSSO

Odds/Point Spread: Red Sox (+134) Braves (-145)

Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (34-23, 1st in NL East) play the Boston Red Sox (22-35, 5th in AL East) at Truist Park on Saturday. The line on this game has the Red Sox coming in at +134 and the Braves are at -145. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tanner Houck and Huascar Ynoa.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/23/2020 Josh Taylor RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Austin Brice RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/23/2020 Andrew Triggs SP Hand Out for the season
9/22/2020 Yairo Munoz LF Back Out for the season
9/19/2020 Zack Godley SP Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2020 Colten Brewer RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Out for the season
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/23/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2020 Huascar Ynoa SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/21/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 22-35 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.92 and they have given up 304 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 296 hitters and walked 131 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.77. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 563 base hits and 318 earned runs. They have allowed 94 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 237 batters and struck out 504. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.61 and their FIP as a unit is 5.21.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .265, good for 4th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .352. He has 57 hits this season in 196 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .485 and an OPS+ of 123. Jackie Bradley Jr is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 179 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .419. The Red Sox have 522 hits, including 115 doubles and 74 home runs. Boston has walked 170 times so far this season and they have struck out 515 times as a unit. They have left 397 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 268 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 34-23 overall mark this year. Ynoa (0-0 mark in his career) is the owner of a 7.44 ERA while allowing 10.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.43 and he has gone up against 116 hitters in his career. So far in his MLB career, Ynoa has given up 29 base hits while accumulating 20 K's in 24 innings. He has given up a total of 20 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.777 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 260 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 464 base knocks and 241 earned runs this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 203 hitters and struck out 476 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .348. He has 62 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 224 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .460 with an OPS+ of 110. Freddie Freeman is hitting .338 this season and he has an OBP of .456. He has collected 70 hits in 207 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 181 and a slugging percentage of .628. The Braves as a unit have 532 base hits, including 125 doubles and 99 homers. Atlanta has walked 224 times this year and they have struck out on 540 occasions. They have had 405 men left on base and have an OPS of .838. They have scored 5.91 runs per game and totaled 337 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves (-145)

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