Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, August 24, 2020

Location: Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FSOH/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Reds (-130) Brewers (+120)

Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (11-14, 3rd in NL Central) head to Miller Park on Monday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (11-14, 4th in NL Central). The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds priced at -130 and the Brewers are at +120. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Trevor Bauer and Brett Anderson.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/23/2020 Robert Stephenson RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/23/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/19/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
7/31/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

8/23/2020 Justin Grimm RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/20/2020 Corey Knebel RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/13/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 11-14 overall record this season. Bauer has taken the hill for 1,143 frames and has earned 1,220 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 3.97 (504 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.279. He has surrendered 1,018 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 444 free passes. Bauer (73-60 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.91 while going up against 4,847 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.60 and they have given up 61 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .172 against the bullpen and they've struck out 112 hitters and walked 42 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 161 base hits and 95 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 93 batters and struck out 273. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 11.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.72.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .210, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.6 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .239 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 22 hits this season in 92 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .609 and an OPS+ of 142. Jesse Winker is hitting .328 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .458. He has totaled 22 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 67 at bats. His OPS+ is 192 while his slugging percentage is at .657. The Reds have 164 hits, including 33 doubles and 39 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 102 times so far this season and they have struck out 204 times as a unit. They have left 159 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 104 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Anderson (60-63 career mark) has earned a 4.05 ERA and has given up 9.6 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 4,293 hitters so far in his career. During his career, Anderson has surrendered 1,084 base knocks while totaling 696 K's in 1,014 innings pitched. He has surrendered 456 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 89 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 141 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 207 base knocks and 113 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 91 hitters and struck out 259 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .214, good for 28th in the league. The Brewers hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.2 hits per contest. Keston Hiura comes into this matchup batting .240 with an OBP of .306. He has 24 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 100 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .470 with an OPS+ of 106. Justin Smoak is hitting .190 this season and he has an OBP of .250. He has collected 16 hits in 84 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 65 and a slugging percentage of .369. The Brewers as a unit have 180 base hits, including 33 doubles and 30 homers. Milwaukee has walked 86 times this year and they have struck out on 243 occasions. They have had 158 men left on base and have an OPS of .669. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 100 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (+120)

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