Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FSDT/FSKC

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+139) Royals (-150)

Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals (23-33, 4th in AL Central) host the Detroit Tigers (22-32, 5th in AL Central) at Kauffman Stadium on Friday. The Tigers open this contest at +139 while the Royals are priced at -150. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Spencer Turnbull and Brad Keller.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/22/2020 Jonathan Schoop 2B Wrist Out for the season
9/21/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/11/2020 JaCoby Jones CF Hand Out for the season
9/9/2020 Ivan Nova SP Triceps Out for the season
8/27/2020 Alex Faedo SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 Dario Agrazal SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 C.J 1B Knee Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/24/2020 Bubba Starling CF Back Out for the season
9/23/2020 Kyle Zimmer RP Elbow Out for the season
9/23/2020 Matt Harvey SP Lat Out for the season
9/21/2020 Glenn Sparkman RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/2/2020 Ian Kennedy RP Calf Out for the season
8/16/2020 Daniel Tillo RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2020 Foster Griffin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 22-32 overall record this season. Turnbull has pitched in 216 innings and has racked up 207 punchouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.54 (109 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.398. He has given up 212 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 90 free passes. Turnbull (7-22 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.81 while he has faced 943 opposing hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 237 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 214 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.7. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 480 base hits and 291 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 180 batters and struck out 416. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.20.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .243, good for 17th in the league. The Tigers hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Niko Goodrum is hitting .175 with an on-base percentage of .253. He has 25 hits this season in 143 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .336 and an OPS+ of 59. Jorge Bonifacio is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .281. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 82 at bats. His OPS+ is 69 while his slugging percentage is at .341. The Tigers have 428 hits, including 75 doubles and 60 home runs. Detroit has walked 139 times so far this season and they have struck out 528 times as a unit. They have left 312 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 235 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 23-33 overall mark this year. In his career, Keller has surrendered 322 base hits while he has tallied 248 K's in 353 innings pitched. He has surrendered 140 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.299 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.81 and he has faced 1,486 batters thus far in his career. Keller (20-23 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.57 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 254 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 465 base knocks and 234 earned runs this season. They have given up 74 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 203 hitters and struck out 478 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 16th in the league. The Royals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Salvador Perez comes into this matchup batting .356 with an OBP of .371. He has 48 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 135 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .667 with an OPS+ of 175. Whit Merrifield is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 65 hits in 230 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .448. The Royals as a unit have 455 base hits, including 91 doubles and 63 homers. Kansas City has walked 160 times this year and they have struck out on 499 occasions. They have had 368 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.12 runs per game and totaled 231 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers (+139)

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