Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FSN/FSDT

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+130) Twins (-140)

Jeimer Candelario and the Detroit Tigers (22-30, 4th in AL Central) head to Target Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Minnesota Twins (33-22, 2nd in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at +130 while the Twins are coming in at -140. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Tarik Skubal and Randy Dobnak.

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/21/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/15/2020 Jonathan Schoop 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/11/2020 JaCoby Jones CF Hand Out for the season
9/9/2020 Ivan Nova SP Triceps Out for the season
8/27/2020 Alex Faedo SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 C.J 1B Knee Out for the season
8/19/2020 Dario Agrazal SP Forearm Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/20/2020 Nelson Cruz DH Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/20/2020 Luis Arraez 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/20/2020 Homer Bailey SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/18/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/13/2020 Brent Rooker RF Forearm Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 22-30 overall record this season. Skubal (1-3 win-loss record) has a FIP of 5.02 and he has gone up against 98 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 6.23 (16 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. He has surrendered 22 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 8 free passes. Skubal has taken the mound for 23 innings and has racked up 25 K's so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 80 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.71. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 464 base hits and 280 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 399. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.12.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .242, good for 17th in the league. The Tigers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Jeimer Candelario is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .371. He has 54 hits this season in 176 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .523 and an OPS+ of 141. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .232 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 42 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 181 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .370. The Tigers have 408 hits, including 72 doubles and 58 home runs. Detroit has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 510 times as a unit. They have left 297 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 225 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Dobnak (8-5 career record) has a 3.15 earned run average and has conceded 9.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.78 and he has faced 318 hitters so far in his career. During his MLB career, Dobnak has surrendered 77 hits and he has 50 K's in 74 frames. He has conceded 26 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 247 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 404 base knocks and 182 earned runs this season. They have given up 57 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 153 hitters and struck out 489 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 16th in the league. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Miguel Sano comes into this matchup batting .212 with an OBP of .287. He has 36 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 170 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .512 with an OPS+ of 115. Max Kepler is hitting .219 this season and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 33 hits in 151 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .424. The Twins as a unit have 429 base hits, including 69 doubles and 85 homers. Minnesota has walked 172 times this year and they have struck out on 477 occasions. They have had 342 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 245 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers (+130)

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