Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, September 21, 2020

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: ATSW/RTNW

Odds/Point Spread: Astros (-145) Mariners (+134)

Yuli Gurriel and the Houston Astros (27-26, 2nd in AL West) travel to T-Mobile Park on Monday where they'll take on the Seattle Mariners (23-30, 3rd in AL West). The Mariners open this game at +134 while the Astros are coming in at -145. The O/U opens at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Lance McCullers Jr and Marco Gonzales.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/19/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Justin Verlander SP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2020 Brad Peacock RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/16/2020 Chris Devenski RP Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/4/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/20/2020 Sam Haggerty LF Forearm Out for the season
9/19/2020 Tom Murphy C Foot Out for the season
9/18/2020 Shed Long 2B Lower Leg Out for the season
9/1/2020 Mitch Haniger RF Back Out for the season
9/1/2020 Gerson Bautista RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2020 Matt Magill RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/31/2020 Nestor Cortes RP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Taylor Guilbeau RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/27/2020 Carl Edwards RP Forearm Out for the season
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 27-26 overall record this season. McCullers has taken the hill for 498 innings and is sitting with 549 punchouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.78 (209 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.271. He has given up 439 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 194 free passes. McCullers (32-24 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.35 while facing 2,097 opposing hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 197 hitters and walked 109 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 407 base hits and 222 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 450. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .239, good for 20th in the league. The Astros hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Yuli Gurriel is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .293. He has 45 hits this season in 180 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .428 and an OPS+ of 92. Jose Altuve is hitting .219 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .286. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 160 at bats. His OPS+ is 64 while his slugging percentage is at .319. The Astros have 410 hits, including 94 doubles and 57 home runs. Houston has walked 162 times so far this season and they have struck out 382 times as a unit. They have left 318 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 246 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Gonzales (40-27 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.17 ERA and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.25 and he has gone up against 2,133 hitters during his career. During his career, Gonzales has allowed 526 base hits while tallying 409 strikeouts in 503 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 233 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.296 and a FIP of 4.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.02 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 174 batters and walked 101 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.33. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 417 base knocks and 264 earned runs this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 195 hitters and struck out 417 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 23rd in the league. The Mariners hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Kyle Seager comes into this matchup batting .237 with an OBP of .358. He has 41 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 173 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .416 with an OPS+ of 118. Evan White is hitting .175 this season and he has an OBP of .256. He has collected 27 hits in 154 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 64 and a slugging percentage of .331. The Mariners as a unit have 381 base hits, including 77 doubles and 54 homers. Seattle has walked 186 times this year and they have struck out on 458 occasions. They have had 331 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 220 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Astros (-145)

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