Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/26/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: FSFL/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+217) Mets (-242)

J.D. Davis and the New York Mets (12-14, 3rd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (12-11, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins priced at +217 and the Mets are at -242. The total has been set at 7. The starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez and Jacob deGrom.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/25/2020 Adam Conley RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/25/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
8/25/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/24/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/24/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/24/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2020 Yimi Garcia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/23/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/22/2020 Robert Dugger SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/22/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2020 Chad Wallach C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 25

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/25/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/25/2020 Andres Gimenez 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/24/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 12-11 overall record this season. Hernandez (6-12 career record) has earned a FIP of 5.23 while he has faced 713 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.79 (89 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.268. He has given up 156 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 56 free passes. Hernandez has taken the ball for 167 innings and has 155 K's during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 93 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 80 hitters and walked 53 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 188 base hits and 100 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 177. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 5.42.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .251, good for 11th in the league. The Marlins hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .330. He has 27 hits this season in 95 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .389 and an OPS+ of 99. Miguel Rojas is hitting .435 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .536. He has totaled 10 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 23 at bats. His OPS+ is 270 while his slugging percentage is at .826. The Marlins have 190 hits, including 28 doubles and 22 home runs. Miami has walked 80 times so far this season and they have struck out 212 times as a unit. They have left 158 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 105 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 12-14 overall mark this year. During his career, deGrom has given up 914 hits while tallying 1,290 K's in 1,129 frames. He has surrendered a total of 327 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.049 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.76 and he has gone up against 4,495 batters so far in his pro baseball career. deGrom (68-49 win-loss mark in his career) has a 2.61 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 118 batters and walked 43 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 237 base knocks and 124 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 77 hitters and struck out 243 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. J.D. Davis comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .410. He has 23 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 81 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 143. Robinson Cano is hitting .373 this season and he has an OBP of .415. He has collected 22 hits in 59 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 191 and a slugging percentage of .644. The Mets as a unit have 238 base hits, including 43 doubles and 34 homers. New York has walked 103 times this year and they have struck out on 224 occasions. They have had 213 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 123 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (-242)

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