Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees
Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020
Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY
Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+157) Yankees (-170)
Luke Voit and the New York Yankees (32-26, 2nd in AL East) play the Miami Marlins (30-28, 2nd in NL East) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The Yankees open this game at -170 while the Marlins are priced at +157. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jose Urena and Clarke Schmidt.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
9/26/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/24/2020 Josh Smith RP Finger Out for the season
9/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Out for the season
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
Key New York Yankees Injuries
9/22/2020 Ben Heller RP Biceps Out for the season
9/16/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 30-28 overall record this season. Urena has taken the ball for 594 innings and has earned 404 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.62 (305 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.340. He has given up 590 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 206 free passes. Urena (32-46 career record) holds a FIP of 4.78 while going up against 2,546 batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.34 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 181 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 490 base hits and 261 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 215 batters and struck out 439. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.96.
As a team Miami is hitting .243, good for 17th in the league. The Marlins hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .396. He has 37 hits this season in 121 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 142. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 184 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Marlins have 453 hits, including 80 doubles and 58 home runs. Miami has walked 184 times so far this season and they have struck out 518 times as a unit. They have left 378 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 254 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 32-26 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 205 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 436 base knocks and 233 earned runs this season. They have given up 81 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 509 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Yankees hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Luke Voit comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .342. He has 58 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 205 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .615 with an OPS+ of 158. Aaron Judge is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 26 hits in 96 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 146 and a slugging percentage of .583. The Yankees as a unit have 457 base hits, including 84 doubles and 91 homers. New York has walked 240 times this year and they have struck out on 468 occasions. They have had 385 men left on base and have an OPS of .788. They have scored 5.24 runs per game and totaled 304 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+157)
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