Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, September 21, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (+120) Reds (-130)

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (26-26, 4th in NL Central) travel to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (27-27, 3rd in NL Central). The odds on this game have the Brewers priced at +120 and the Reds are at -130. The O/U opens at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brandon Woodruff and Luis Castillo.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/20/2020 Eric Yardley RP Lower Leg Probable for Sep 20
9/20/2020 Ben Gamel RF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/1/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/20/2020 Sonny Gray SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/19/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Groin Out for the season
9/15/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 26-26 overall record this season. Woodruff has taken the mound for 267 innings and has accumulated 294 punchouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.78 (112 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.161. He has given up 237 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 73 walks. Woodruff (18-10 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.39 and he has gone up against 1,097 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 158 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 265 hitters and walked 85 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 389 base hits and 206 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 530. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .227, good for 26th in the league. The Brewers hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .211 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 37 hits this season in 175 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .451 and an OPS+ of 111. Ryan Braun is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .306. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 102 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .549. The Brewers have 375 hits, including 74 doubles and 66 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 192 times so far this season and they have struck out 495 times as a unit. They have left 332 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 224 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 27-27 overall mark this year. Castillo (31-32 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.61 earned run average while conceding 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.12 and he has gone up against 2,096 batters so far in his MLB career. In his career, Castillo has given up 413 hits and he has 565 K's in 508 innings. He has given up a total of 204 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .182 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 200 batters and walked 86 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.9 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 357 base knocks and 196 earned runs this season. They have given up 63 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 193 hitters and struck out 532 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .213, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Mike Moustakas comes into this matchup batting .205 with an OBP of .323. He has 23 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 112 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .384 with an OPS+ of 85. Joey Votto is hitting .238 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 39 hits in 164 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .463. The Reds as a unit have 343 base hits, including 65 doubles and 79 homers. Cincinnati has walked 209 times this year and they have struck out on 462 occasions. They have had 324 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They have scored 3.91 runs per game and totaled 207 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds (-130)

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