Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (+138) Reds (-149)

Orlando Arcia and the Milwaukee Brewers (26-27, 4th in NL Central) travel to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (28-27, 3rd in NL Central). The line on this contest has the Brewers coming in at +138 and the Reds are at -149. The O/U is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Adrian Houser and Trevor Bauer.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/21/2020 Eric Yardley RP Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Ben Gamel RF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/1/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/21/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/21/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/19/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Groin Out for the season
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 26-27 overall record this season. Houser (7-12 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 752 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.11 (81 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.343. He has allowed 172 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 66 walks. Houser has taken the ball for 177 innings and is sitting with 164 K's in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 165 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the bullpen and they've struck out 270 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 403 base hits and 215 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 171 batters and struck out 546. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .227, good for 24th in the league. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Orlando Arcia is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 37 hits this season in 150 at bats with 16 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .373 and an OPS+ of 84. Avisail Garcia is hitting .244 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 15 men in 156 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .346. The Brewers have 388 hits, including 75 doubles and 70 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 201 times so far this season and they have struck out 516 times as a unit. They have left 343 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 232 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 28-27 overall mark this year. Thus far in his career, Bauer has allowed 1,047 hits while earning 1,267 strikeouts in 1,182 innings pitched. He has allowed 515 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.80 and he has gone up against 5,002 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Bauer (74-64 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.92 ERA while surrendering 8.0 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .182 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 209 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.9 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 368 base knocks and 200 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 201 hitters and struck out 558 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .213, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Jesse Winker comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .379. He has 36 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 140 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .536 with an OPS+ of 138. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .230 this season and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 46 hits in 200 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Reds as a unit have 356 base hits, including 68 doubles and 83 homers. Cincinnati has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out on 484 occasions. They have had 340 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 220 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds (-149)

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