New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/19/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-240) Marlins (+216)

Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (9-7, 2nd in NL East) host the New York Mets (10-14, 4th in NL East) at Marlins Park on Wednesday. The Mets open this contest at -240 while the Marlins are coming in at +216. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The men taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Pablo Lopez.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/17/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/16/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/18/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/18/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/18/2020 Robert Dugger SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/17/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/16/2020 Caleb Smith SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/15/2020 Corey Dickerson LF Bereavement List Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/14/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Chad Wallach C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 10-14 overall record this season. deGrom (68-49 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.82 and he has gone up against 4,472 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.62 (327 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.051. He has surrendered 910 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 271 free passes. deGrom has taken the mound for 1,123 innings and has totaled 1,283 punchouts during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 89 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen and they've struck out 107 hitters and walked 40 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 219 base hits and 118 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 221. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 2nd in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .231 with an on-base percentage of .423. He has 18 hits this season in 78 at bats with 6 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .410 and an OPS+ of 137. Pete Alonso is hitting .241 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 21 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 87 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .448. The Mets have 218 hits, including 37 doubles and 30 home runs. New York has walked 94 times so far this season and they have struck out 210 times as a unit. They have left 197 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 110 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 9-7 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Lopez has allowed 181 base knocks while accumulating 160 punchouts in 186 innings. He has allowed a total of 94 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.237 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.27 and he has faced 783 hitters in his career. Lopez (9-13 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.55 ERA and has given up 8.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 58 batters and walked 35 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 128 base knocks and 67 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 61 hitters and struck out 131 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 5.47.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 19th in the league. The Marlins hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .222 with an OBP of .354. He has 12 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 54 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .481 with an OPS+ of 125. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 17 hits in 61 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .508. The Marlins as a unit have 121 base hits, including 19 doubles and 17 homers. Miami has walked 62 times this year and they have struck out on 147 occasions. They have had 103 men left on base and have an OPS of .698. They have scored 4.56 runs per game and totaled 73 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins (+216)

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