New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/20/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, August 20, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-107) Marlins (-103)

Jonathan Villar and the Miami Marlins (9-8, 2nd in NL East) host the New York Mets (11-14, 4th in NL East) at Marlins Park on Thursday. The odds on this matchup have the Mets priced at -107 and the Marlins are at -103. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Steven Matz and Daniel Castano.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/18/2020 David Peterson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/18/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/17/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/19/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/19/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Yimi Garcia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2020 Jorge Alfaro C Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/18/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/18/2020 Robert Dugger SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/18/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
8/18/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/14/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 11-14 overall record this season. Matz (31-40 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.44 while he has gone up against 2,443 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.25 (270 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.309. He has conceded 573 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 176 walks. Matz has thrown 572 innings and is sitting with 539 strikeouts during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 95 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen and they've struck out 113 hitters and walked 40 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 230 base hits and 121 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 231. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .267, good for 2nd in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 18 hits this season in 67 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .328 and an OPS+ of 87. J.D. Davis is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .411. He has totaled 22 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 77 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .468. The Mets have 228 hits, including 39 doubles and 33 home runs. New York has walked 100 times so far this season and they have struck out 216 times as a unit. They have left 206 men on base and have a team OPS of .796. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 118 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 9-8 overall mark this year. Castano has given up 9 base hits while earning 6 punchouts in 10 innings. He has allowed a total of 5 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.188 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.8. His SO/W ratio is 2.00 and he has faced 42 opposing hitters. Castano (0-1 win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.46 earned run average and has surrendered 8.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 63 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 138 base knocks and 75 earned runs this season. They have given up 32 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 67 hitters and struck out 137 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 5.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 16th in the league. The Marlins hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .304. He has 17 hits this year along with 7 RBI in 71 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .366 with an OPS+ of 85. Francisco Cervelli is hitting .239 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 11 hits in 46 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .478. The Marlins as a unit have 132 base hits, including 22 doubles and 17 homers. Miami has walked 62 times this year and they have struck out on 157 occasions. They have had 111 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They have scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 76 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Mets (-107) and under 9 runs

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