New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+157) Nationals (-170)

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (25-31, 4th in NL East) travel to Nationals Park on Friday where they'll meet the Washington Nationals (23-33, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Mets priced at +157 and the Nationals are at -170. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Rick Porcello and Max Scherzer.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/24/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Out for the season
9/24/2020 Michael Conforto RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/24/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/23/2020 Carter Kieboom 3B Wrist Out for the season
9/22/2020 Aaron Barrett RP Triceps Out for the season
9/22/2020 James Bourque RP Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
9/21/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/20/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 25-31 overall record this season. Porcello has taken the ball for 2,093 innings and has tallied 1,558 punchouts so far in his career. His ERA is 4.39 (1,022 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.314. He has surrendered 2,262 hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 488 free passes. Porcello (150-124 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 8,893 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 247 hitters and walked 119 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 478 base hits and 260 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 200 batters and struck out 541. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .210 with an on-base percentage of .305. He has 41 hits this season in 195 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .436 and an OPS+ of 103. Jeff McNeil is hitting .329 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .403. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 170 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .482. The Mets have 515 hits, including 98 doubles and 79 home runs. New York has walked 187 times so far this season and they have struck out 469 times as a unit. They have left 414 men on base and have a team OPS of .806. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 272 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

In his pro baseball career, Scherzer has conceded 1,947 base knocks and he has 2,777 punchouts in 2,351 innings. He has allowed a total of 838 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.100 and having a FIP of 3.2. His SO/W ratio is 4.35 and he has gone up against 9,547 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Scherzer (174-93 career record) has a 3.21 earned run average and has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 213 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 512 base knocks and 271 earned runs this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 206 hitters and struck out 479 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 5.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Nationals hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Kurt Suzuki comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .344. He has 28 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 105 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .400 with an OPS+ of 98. Victor Robles is hitting .228 this season and he has an OBP of .298. He has collected 37 hits in 162 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 67 and a slugging percentage of .327. The Nationals as a unit have 486 base hits, including 105 doubles and 61 homers. Washington has walked 173 times this year and they have struck out on 418 occasions. They have had 376 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 267 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (-170)

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