Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Friday, September 25, 2020
Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+152) Rays (-165)
Tropicana Field is the site where Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (37-20, 1st in AL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (28-29, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The Rays open this matchup at -165 while the Phillies are priced at +152. The O/U opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Vince Velasquez and Charlie Morton.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/23/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Out for the season
9/22/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/22/2020 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Out for the season
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
9/24/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Out for the season
9/23/2020 Mike Brosseau 1B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/20/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 28-29 overall record this season. Velasquez (28-35 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.38 while he has gone up against 2,375 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.72 (289 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.375. He has allowed 541 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 217 free passes. Velasquez has pitched in 551 frames and is sitting with 609 strikeouts during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.17 and they have given up 240 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .282 against the bullpen and they've struck out 190 hitters and walked 84 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 525 base hits and 269 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 173 batters and struck out 499. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
Related: How to Bet Parlays
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .257, good for 7th in the league. The Phillies hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jean Segura is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 49 hits this season in 180 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .439 and an OPS+ of 113. Bryce Harper is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .411. He has totaled 46 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 180 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Phillies have 475 hits, including 87 doubles and 81 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 224 times so far this season and they have struck out 454 times as a unit. They have left 400 men on base and have a team OPS of .791. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 299 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 37-20 overall mark this year. Morton (93-89 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.08 ERA while surrendering 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.45 and he has faced 6,178 opposing hitters during his MLB career. During his MLB career, Morton has surrendered 1,395 base hits while accumulating 1,268 punchouts in 1,435 innings pitched. He has allowed 650 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.333 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 250 batters and walked 84 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 450 base knocks and 204 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 163 hitters and struck out 526 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 20th in the league. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Kevin Kiermaier comes into this matchup batting .221 with an OBP of .329. He has 29 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 131 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .374 with an OPS+ of 97. Yoshi Tsutsugo is hitting .195 this season and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 29 hits in 149 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .403. The Rays as a unit have 445 base hits, including 102 doubles and 79 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 231 times this year and they have struck out on 575 occasions. They have had 394 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 274 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Rays (-165) and over the total runs
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks