Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MAS2/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-170) Nationals (+157)

Juan Soto and the Washington Nationals (20-32, 5th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (27-26, 3rd in NL East) at Nationals Park on Tuesday. The Nationals open this matchup at +157 while the Phillies are priced at -170. The total is set at 7. The starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Austin Voth.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/20/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Out for the season
9/17/2020 J.T C Hip Probable for Sep 21
9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Out for the season
9/14/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/21/2020 Dakota Bacus RP Forearm Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tanner Rainey RP Forearm Out for the season
9/20/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/20/2020 James Bourque RP Arm Probable for Sep 21
9/19/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2020 Adam Eaton RF Finger Out for the season
9/15/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/12/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Oblique Out for the season
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/24/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 27-26 overall record this season. Nola (58-38 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.47 while he has gone up against 3,419 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.45 (319 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.158. He has given up 711 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 253 free passes. Nola has taken the hill for 832 frames and has totaled 910 punchouts during his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.15 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .285 against the bullpen and they've struck out 180 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 497 base hits and 253 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 162 batters and struck out 466. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 54 hits this season in 187 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .497 and an OPS+ of 124. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 46 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 192 at bats. His OPS+ is 90 while his slugging percentage is at .396. The Phillies have 441 hits, including 82 doubles and 74 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 206 times so far this season and they have struck out 419 times as a unit. They have left 370 men on base and have a team OPS of .788. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 278 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Voth (3-7 mark in his career) holds a 5.31 earned run average while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and he has gone up against 405 opposing hitters during his career. So far in his pro baseball career, Voth has conceded 90 base knocks while he has accumulated 88 strikeouts in 93 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 55 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.352 and a FIP of 5.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 200 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 478 base knocks and 251 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 188 hitters and struck out 444 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 4.95.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Juan Soto comes into this matchup batting .353 with an OBP of .476. He has 48 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 136 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .684 with an OPS+ of 205. Trea Turner is hitting .337 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 70 hits in 208 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 156 and a slugging percentage of .582. The Nationals as a unit have 458 base hits, including 96 doubles and 58 homers. Washington has walked 162 times this year and they have struck out on 385 occasions. They have had 356 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 246 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (+157)

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