Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 9/25/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Friday, September 25, 2020

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: ATPT/STOh

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+225) Indians (-251)

Progressive Field is the site where Franmil Reyes and the Cleveland Indians (32-24, 3rd in AL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-39, 5th in NL Central) on Friday. The Pirates open this contest at +225 while the Indians are priced at -251. The total opens at 7.5. The men taking the mound are Mitch Keller and Carlos Carrasco.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/23/2020 Cole Tucker CF Concussion Out for the season
9/23/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Out for the season
9/22/2020 Jason Martin CF Back Out for the season
9/21/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/21/2020 Tyler Bashlor RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/21/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Out for the season
9/20/2020 Kevin Newman SS Knee Out for the season
9/14/2020 Kyle Crick RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/6/2020 Anthony Alford CF Elbow Out for the season
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/9/2020 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 18-39 overall record this season. Keller has thrown 64 frames and is sitting with 78 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 6.17 (44 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.667. He has given up 81 base knocks (11.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 26 walks. Keller (2-6 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.10 and he has faced 293 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the bullpen and they've struck out 251 hitters and walked 113 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.8. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 430 base hits and 255 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 232 batters and struck out 506. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.85.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .214, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .340 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.8 hits per game. Adam Frazier is hitting .220 with an on-base percentage of .290. He has 42 hits this season in 191 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .335 and an OPS+ of 71. Josh Bell is hitting .221 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .296. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 181 at bats. His OPS+ is 77 while his slugging percentage is at .354. The Pirates have 383 hits, including 67 doubles and 49 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 157 times so far this season and they have struck out 481 times as a unit. They have left 320 men on base and have a team OPS of .619. They score 3.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 195 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 32-24 overall mark this year. Carrasco (88-73 career mark) has a 3.77 ERA and has conceded 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.08 and he has faced 5,092 opposing batters so far in his career. During his MLB career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,162 base knocks while he has earned 1,297 strikeouts in 1,236 frames. He has surrendered a total of 518 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.197 and a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 198 batters and walked 58 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.19. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 408 base knocks and 177 earned runs this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 147 hitters and struck out 578 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .227, good for 23rd in the league. The Indians hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.4 hits per contest. Franmil Reyes comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .347. He has 55 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 198 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .449 with an OPS+ of 114. Jose Ramirez is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 59 hits in 206 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .597. The Indians as a unit have 416 base hits, including 84 doubles and 57 homers. Cleveland has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out on 491 occasions. They have had 379 men left on base and have an OPS of .687. They have scored 4.12 runs per game and totaled 231 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians (-251)

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