St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/1/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (+145) Reds (-157)

Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals (12-13, 2nd in NL Central) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (15-19, 4th in NL Central). The Reds open this contest at -157 while the Cardinals are priced at +145. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Kwang Hyun Kim and Sonny Gray.

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

8/31/2020 Ryan Helsley RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/30/2020 Genesis Cabrera RP Finger Probable for Aug 31
8/30/2020 Matt Wieters C Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/29/2020 Ricardo Sanchez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2020 Rangel Ravelo DH Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/27/2020 Andrew Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/26/2020 Lane Thomas CF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/26/2020 Kodi Whitley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/26/2020 Austin Dean LF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/26/2020 Carlos Martinez SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/11/2020 Miles Mikolas SP Forearm Out for the season
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/29/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/28/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/28/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/24/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 12-13 overall record this season. Kim has thrown 16 innings and is sitting with 7 strikeouts. His ERA is 1.11 (2 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.926. He has given up 11 base knocks (6.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 4 free passes. Kim (1-0 mark) sits with a FIP of 3.88 while he has gone up against 65 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 68 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .177 against the bullpen and they've struck out 91 hitters and walked 44 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 6.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.57. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 147 base hits and 83 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 185. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .237, good for 20th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .325 with an on-base percentage of .461. He has 26 hits this season in 80 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 164. Paul DeJong is hitting .313 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 15 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 48 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .458. The Cardinals have 180 hits, including 33 doubles and 20 home runs. St. Louis has walked 97 times so far this season and they have struck out 187 times as a unit. They have left 163 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 100 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his pro baseball career, Gray has surrendered 963 base hits while totaling 1,049 punchouts in 1,117 innings pitched. He has allowed 431 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.213 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 4,643 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Gray (75-61 career mark) has earned a 3.47 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.48 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .173 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 141 batters and walked 59 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.5 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 217 base knocks and 128 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 127 hitters and struck out 359 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 11.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .216, good for 28th in the league. The Reds hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.6 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .174 with an OBP of .296. He has 20 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 115 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .383 with an OPS+ of 78. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 32 hits in 122 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .590. The Reds as a unit have 226 base hits, including 43 doubles and 53 homers. Cincinnati has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out on 281 occasions. They have had 216 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They have scored 3.97 runs per game and totaled 135 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (-157)

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